New Delhi: A "Mood of the Nation" poll conducted by a noted English newsweekly has
predicted a decisive victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National
Democratic Alliance (NDA) in case of a snap poll to the Lok Sabha in which the
coalition may get a clear majority of 310-320 seats.
The poll, conducted by India Today-ORG-MARG this month, has seen the six-month-old
trend of rolling back the anti-incumbency tide "crystallise quite dramatically",
says the magazine carrying the results of the poll in its latest issue.
The poll suggests that the popular vote for the NDA may touch 42 per cent, giving
the ruling coalition a clear majority of between 310 and 320 votes in the event of a
snap poll. If the BJP and the BSP (Bahujan Samaj Party) strike a poll alliance in
Uttar Pradesh, the NDA tally may even reach 340, it said.
On the face of it, the magazine said, the shifts are small. In just 12 months, the
BJP and its allies have gained an extra 0.8 per cent votes; in the same period the
Congress combine has lost two per cent votes.
Today, the ruling combine has 0.2 per cent more votes than 1999 and the Congress-led
alliance 0.1 per cent less. Yet these small shifts are enough to increase the NDA
majority remarkably from 32 to 48 per cent. If the BJP continues its advance even
modestly, the outcome could be a landslide, it said.
PTI