Tough nuclear diplomacy for Indian PM in Japan Wednesday, December 06, 2006 11:28 [IST]
New Delhi: Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh's visit to Japan
next week is likely to test his diplomatic skills as he seeks to persuade Tokyo, a key member of
the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) and known for its strong views on
non-proliferation, to back the India-US civil nuclear deal at the nuclear
forum.
Although economic issues will dominate the four-day visit
beginning Dec 13 with a view to forging a special relationship between the two
Asian countries, it will have substantial strategic and political content as
well.
In terms of India's
civil nuclear diplomacy, Manmohan Singh's Tokyo
visit is astutely timed: it will be the first NSG country the prime minister
will visit after a likely approval of the final nuclear bill following a
reconciliation conference of the two chambers of the US Congress.
From India's point of view, getting Japan's support, which
abides by the three principles of 'no possession, no production and no
presence' of nuclear weapons on its soil, in the NSG to change global rules of
civil nuclear commerce in New Delhi's favour will be nothing short of a
breakthrough.
In an interview to Yomiuri Shimbun, Manmohan Singh has
sought Japan's support for
civil nuclear cooperation while underlining New Delhi's "impeccable
non-proliferation record".
"There is a strong case to be made that the
international community must make a distinction between an open, democratic and
responsible state like India
from others who have pursued clandestine programmes and indulged in
proliferation," he said, rejecting any parallel between India and North Korea.
Official sources told sources that India was in informal talks with NSG countries
including Japan
to secure their backing for civil nuclear cooperation.
Former Indian foreign secretary Salman Haidar underlined the
problems vis-à-vis Japan.
"It will be difficult to get Japan's
support for the nuclear deal," he told IANS, pointing out the special
sensitivities over the nuclear issue of Tokyo,
the only country to have been attacked by atomic bombs.
"Japan
will, however, not campaign against us. In the NSG they will not play the
spoiler. But they won't be too happy either," Haidar stressed.
This, some experts say, appears to be a fair assessment of
the ground realities as Japan
is an ally of the US
and, therefore, in the end will be unlikely to oppose the India-US nuclear
deal.
The Indo-US pact seeks to transfer civil nuclear technology
to India
although the latter is not a signatory to NPT.
Japan
is the world's third-largest nuclear power nation in terms of the number of
civilian nuclear plants in operation. Japan's 55-odd plants produce
nearly 30 per cent of its electricity needs.
Its support for India's quest for nuclear energy is
significant because it was one of the few countries that expressed its
reservations over the India-US nuclear deal at a meeting of NSG last year.
Japan,
which never missed an opportunity to attack India's
nuclear tests of 1998 and has vigorously batted for protecting the Nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), is keen to forge a strategic partnership with New Delhi.
Tokyo's backing - if it comes
- will create a positive effect on other members of NSG like the Scandinavian
nations who too are not happy with making New
Delhi an exception from the NPT regime.
Manmohan Singh's visit to Japan,
which enjoys the protection of the US
nuclear umbrella, comes when a debate has revived there over developing nuclear
weapons in response to the Oct 9 North Korean nuclear test, which Japan Prime
Minister Shinzo Abe called a grave threat to Tokyo's security.
Although Japan
has decided for now not to go nuclear, observers say the nuclear option cannot
be ruled out. Japan
has nearly 43 tonnes of plutonium stockpile from its large civil nuclear
industry, which could be diverted for developing nuclear bombs. |