United Nation predicts deceleration of world economy Thursday, January 11, 2007 11:18 [IST]
United Nations: The United Nations has predicted a deceleration of the world
economy this year after three straight years of growth with American economy
weakening dragged down by softening housing market.
But the growth will remain robust with slight moderation in developing states
and economies in transition, a new report said, noting that among developing
nations, sustained high growth in India
and China
has engendered more endogenous growth through increasing south-south trade and
financial linkages.
Stating that the American economy will be a major drag for the global slowdown,
the report, released yesterday, maintained that no other developed economy is
expected to emerge as an alternative engine for the world economy with growth
rate in Europe forecast to slow down to 2 per cent and in Japan below 2 per
cent.
The growth of world gross product (WFP) is forecast to moderate its pace to 3.2
per cent from estimated 3.8 per cent during the last year. The report holds out
the possibility of much stronger slowdown in American economy, leading to
sustained risks. These include dollar losing its value too fast or inability of
the United States
to draw outside investments.
The report expresses concern over widening current account imbalance across the
regions and countries. The US, it said, is running a current account deficit
around US$ 900 billion matched by surpluses generated by Germany, Japan and,
more importantly, by developing regions and economies in transition including
major oil exporters.
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