Sri Lankan leaders head to India amid war, frustration Friday, January 26, 2007 02:50 [IST]
New Delhi: Sri Lankan leaders
from the government and the opposition are heading to India at a time
when there is intense frustration here and in other countries over the failure
to bring peace to the island.
Both Prime Minister Ratnasiri Wickremanayake and opposition
leader Ranil Wickremesinghe will be here next week for the celebrations,
organised by the ruling Congress party, of the centenary of Mahatma Gandhi's
satyagraha.
Another visitor will be Sri Lanka's new Foreign Secretary
Palitha Kohona.
Although much of their time will be spent hearing and
talking about a man who was an apostle of non-violence, they are expected to
discuss with officials here the relentless war raging in their own country.
With both Colombo
and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) at each other's throats, most
Indian fingers are tightly crossed mirroring the mood in several Western capitals.
Peace facilitator Norway
has been more or less dumped by Sri
Lanka, which seems intent on rolling back
the Tamil Tigers from the eastern province and propping up the breakaway group
led by Karuna, the former LTTE regional commander.
And with killings and counter-killing as well as abductions
the order of the day, no one overseeing the barely alive peace process is sure
where the cycle of violence is headed for.
The US, the 25-nation European Union, Japan and Norway seem
convinced that there is little they can do when Colombo is determined to crush
the LTTE militarily and the Tigers refuse to give up despite suffering major
territorial losses.
If the visiting prime minister and opposition leader
interact with the Indian government, New Delhi
will reiterate that Sri
Lanka needs to devolve autonomous powers to
Tamil areas.
The one point New
Delhi has been very vocal about is the need to avoid
wanton civilian casualties when the military battles the Tigers. This is
certain to be repeated.
Internationally, there is heat on Sri Lanka on the human rights
front.
The European Union is expected to table a resolution at a
rights meeting in Geneva
in March condemning the Government. Germany,
which now heads the EU, has already suspended aid to Sri Lanka.
But Colombo
does not seem unduly worried.
Having tasted morale-boosting military victories, it is in
no mood to slow down. There are indications that members of the majority
Sinhalese community may be settled in Trincomalee in the east coast to alter
the demography of the region.
The calculation is that if a referendum is held to decide
whether the northern and eastern provinces should remain one administrative
unit, then almost all Muslims and Sinhalese and even sections of Tamils may
vote against it.
But few believe that the LTTE can be subdued. Pushed to the
wall, the Tigers may simply revert to guerrilla war, despite the great odds
against them.
The dominant thinking in India
is that it should not intervene in Sri Lanka. And despite differences
between Colombo and New
Delhi over the ethnic question, it is unlikely their strategic ties
would be impaired seriously because of fears that others, particularly Pakistan,
would exploit such a situation.
At the same time, no one here is for a military solution to
the conflict and the feeling is that the Tamil community should get its
political due.
And sections of the Indian establishment still have faith in
President Mahinda Rajapakse and hope that he might, overcoming the political
factors that threaten instability, one day come out with a widely accepted
devolution package. |